Boston Celtics at Miami Heat odds, picks and best bets

The Boston Celtics (30-15) visit the Miami Heat (32-14) at AmericanAirlines Arena for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze Celtics-Heat odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.


Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.


Celtics at Heat: Key injuries

Celtics

  • SG Javonte Green (knee) questionable
  • SF Jayson Tatum (groin) doubtful
  • C Enes Kanter (hip) out
  • C Robert Williams III (hip) out

Heat

  • PG Kendrick Nunn (Achilles) questionable
  • SF Justise Winslow (back) out

Celtics at Heat: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Celtics 108, Heat 103

Moneyline (ML)

Circumstances dictate backing the CELTICS (-106) Tuesday night against the Heat (-115). On one hand, Miami is tied with the Milwaukee Bucks and Philadelphia 76ers at 20-2 with the best home win/loss record in the NBA. On the other hand, Boston is 11-0 with a rest advantage with a plus-15.6 margin of victory and Miami is 3-5 on the second game of back-to-backs with a minus-9.8 point differential. Boston has won four straight games against Miami, including a 112-93 trouncing in their first meeting of the season.

They cancel each other out offensively-Miami averages 112.2 points per game and Boston averages 112.3 PPG-but the Celtics have the edge defensively, where they are ranked third in opponent PPG and fifth in defensive rating versus a Heat squad ranked 12th and 13th, respectively, in those same categories.

New to sports betting? Bet $106 on the Celtics to earn a profit of $100 if they win outright.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Ehhh … let’s PASS on an against the spread wager. With two top-10 offensively rated basketball teams squaring off, there’s no point in taking Celtics +1.5 (-121). If the Heat win by one, my bad.

Over/Under (O/U)

I LEANUNDER 218.5 (-106) for various reasons. Both teams play with a below-average tempo: Boston is ranked 17th in Pace and Miami is 26th. The Celtics have an Over/Under record of 4-7 when playing with a rest advantage and the O/U is 4-4 in Heat games when the playing on no rest.

Also, when you combine BetMGM ‘s projection of this being a close game, the Celtics’ elite defense and the Heat’s assumed fatigue in this spot, a tightly contested, slow-paced game that plays to the Under is the most likely outcome.

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